Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 82525.676602 87123.071012 91720.110456 96658.436564 101809.962361 107022.098442 112690.841890
2025-02-23 74856.748424 81890.318033 89121.883037 97102.498985 105652.378805 114526.951028 124424.505829
2025-03-02 69192.576640 77858.863111 86966.578585 97230.788944 108454.985696 120334.592551 133836.849906
2025-03-09 65640.079129 75611.950982 86283.342439 98518.247460 112122.056758 126747.750245 143624.463492
2025-03-16 61730.421988 72618.710987 84460.933143 98246.661174 113801.005469 130754.391069 150575.471556
2025-03-23 59496.324498 71295.455600 84311.455818 99665.687851 117210.396561 136559.375294 159436.115496
2025-03-30 57255.028444 69797.793866 83816.905463 100557.396222 119908.969617 141480.283186 167244.602553
2025-04-06 54835.030430 67949.129087 82790.473707 100717.915709 121668.011906 145255.719878 173695.219014
2025-04-13 52532.284676 66116.754412 81673.225538 100669.787968 123097.060790 148584.922627 179586.302531
2025-04-20 51278.179034 65454.578129 81863.130629 102096.798038 126203.705990 153829.282612 187693.394786
2025-04-27 50102.793143 64820.786867 82030.229405 103448.776556 129188.206722 158916.126360 195623.982672
2025-05-04 48661.995866 63796.744820 81671.030945 104119.251358 131323.385022 162982.206996 202350.839569
2025-05-11 46922.761955 62362.388241 80784.730281 104136.425354 132678.383763 166150.789615 208072.469876
2025-05-18 45543.042704 61325.053163 80341.215123 104658.647032 134622.468525 170018.403580 214647.231172
2025-05-25 44066.679702 60109.918261 79628.646493 104805.625496 136075.401751 173276.687945 220488.561643
2025-06-01 43272.313357 59726.359713 79921.560922 106175.911011 139017.652735 178338.689121 228533.103152
2025-06-08 41748.963829 58352.719639 78923.023809 105887.820603 139873.704784 180838.176941 233451.991764
2025-06-15 41134.671750 58131.937798 79362.776436 107395.580575 142960.012919 186076.774456 241749.028786
2025-06-22 40306.126228 57598.798636 79377.333257 108342.881238 145332.466747 190437.423911 248984.482213
2025-06-29 39181.669069 56637.027587 78807.176819 108513.398583 146703.339120 193546.891741 254676.353585
2025-07-06 38018.469805 55586.713817 78088.705031 108462.275881 147768.843127 196262.259819 259877.632128
2025-07-13 37567.275176 55477.325391 78585.816548 109977.998986 150835.616234 201495.401248 268253.652316
2025-07-20 37106.162150 55336.397780 79027.822802 111413.803765 153800.657158 206613.146590 276514.332732